Eastern Michigan
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
105  Willy Fink SR 31:52
108  Nicholas Raymond JR 31:52
241  Hlynur Andresson SO 32:24
263  Lahsene Bouchikhi SO 32:26
270  Csaba Matko SO 32:28
476  Mitchell Lenneman SO 32:56
528  Abel Flores SO 33:03
529  John Knox III JR 33:03
1,322  Cameron Trinh SR 34:16
National Rank #32 of 308
Great Lakes Region Rank #3 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 37.9%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 12.9%


Regional Champion 3.3%
Top 5 in Regional 85.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Willy Fink Nicholas Raymond Hlynur Andresson Lahsene Bouchikhi Csaba Matko Mitchell Lenneman Abel Flores John Knox III Cameron Trinh
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 749 31:53 32:14 32:33 32:19 32:52 32:55 32:45 32:46 34:24
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 743 31:58 31:54 32:32 32:47 32:29 32:58 33:02
Mid American Championships 10/31 637 31:50 31:43 32:30 32:15 32:19 32:54 32:53 33:26 34:11
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 582 31:47 31:31 32:02 32:32 32:18 33:03 34:28
NCAA Championship 11/21 32:23





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 37.9% 22.2 532 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.9 2.6 2.1 1.4 0.8
Region Championship 100% 3.8 129 3.3 17.0 25.9 23.4 15.5 9.4 4.1 0.9 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Willy Fink 47.6% 81.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Nicholas Raymond 47.6% 83.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Hlynur Andresson 37.9% 156.5
Lahsene Bouchikhi 37.9% 162.8
Csaba Matko 37.9% 165.3
Mitchell Lenneman 37.9% 213.4
Abel Flores 37.9% 219.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Willy Fink 11.3 0.3 0.7 2.5 3.5 5.0 5.8 5.9 6.7 6.1 6.4 5.8 5.2 4.8 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.0 2.8 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.3
Nicholas Raymond 11.2 0.1 1.0 2.2 3.7 5.3 5.9 6.1 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.2 5.3 4.8 4.0 3.5 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.0 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.8 1.5 1.1
Hlynur Andresson 29.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.6 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.4 2.5 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.8 4.0 2.8
Lahsene Bouchikhi 31.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.8 2.5 3.1 3.1 3.2 2.7 3.0
Csaba Matko 32.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.1
Mitchell Lenneman 55.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Abel Flores 60.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 3.3% 100.0% 3.3 3.3 1
2 17.0% 100.0% 17.0 17.0 2
3 25.9% 55.0% 0.9 1.0 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 11.7 14.3 3
4 23.4% 13.1% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 20.4 3.1 4
5 15.5% 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 15.3 0.2 5
6 9.4% 0.2% 0.0 9.3 0.0 6
7 4.1% 4.1 7
8 0.9% 0.9 8
9 0.3% 0.3 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 37.9% 3.3 17.0 0.9 1.2 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.4 0.9 1.0 1.1 62.1 20.3 17.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas A&M 50.0% 1.0 0.5
Texas 38.3% 1.0 0.4
Penn 30.0% 1.0 0.3
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
Florida 8.5% 2.0 0.2
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Navy 1.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0